The Fantasy Football Experts

2012 Fantasy Football Player Profile: AJ Green

2012 Fantasy Football Player Profile: AJ Green

Jul 11, 2012

Rookie Wide Receiver A.J Green made a quick impression on his Cincinnati Bengals teammates and fans by catching a 41-yard touchdown pass from fellow rookie Andy Dalton. Green followed up that excellent first start with a ten-catch performance on the road against the Broncos.

The former Georgia Bulldog finished the season with 65 catches for 1057 yards and 7 touchdowns, making him the top rookie wide receiver in 2011. His stellar first season in the NFL earned him a high ranking on most draft boards and a 20 ADP on Mock Draft Central as of the date of publication.

Closer examination of his stats reveals a few interesting points that fantasy owners should consider when drafting this spring. Although he finished with over 100 fantasy points, Green had a surprisingly low CPR rating of 13.3%, and failed to post a single elite game (top 5 ranking in any week) in 2011.

The CPR rating tool gives fantasy owners a way to easily gauge how consistently a player performs throughout a season. The higher the CPR score, the more consistently a player scored each week compared to other players in that position. For example, Calvin Johnson posted the highest CPR rating in 2011 with a 62.5%. At just 13.3%, Green was a top-ten performer just two of his 15 starts.

Consistent play is critical for fantasy football success, especially for players taken in the first five rounds of drafts. For this reason, I think owners are overvaluing Green in drafts this summer.

There is no doubt that Green is a talented player and could be a viable low-end number one starter. However, the fact that fantasy owners are drafting him above other talented wide outs like Larry Fitzgerald and Greg Jennings is somewhat surprising.

Andrew Swanson


Andrew Swanson is the founder and president of Kramerica Sports LLC, the parent company of RotoStars.com and KramericaSports.com. Andrew is a veteran fantasy sports writer and is a regular contributor on ESPN 101.7 The Team and Sirius/XM Fantasy Radio.